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Coronavirus

Coronavirus - The Poll


  • Total voters
    97
I wouldn't assume anything at this stage. I know that radical, relentless optimism is a key feature of your posts and personality, and I generally admire it. Of course, there will be light at the end of the tunnel, but you have to respect that the situation is still grave.
It's still grave but the impression I got from the latest press conference is the government think we are imminently about to peak.

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Here in the South West my hospital in particular is doing ok. Got about 50 or so in at the moment and still have capacity. Hopefully tourists will stay away from Devon and Cornwall and help keep the figures low. However given they have been stopping caravans and people coming down to fish in the early hours I'm not hopeful of that!!
I've read from friends who live in Cornwall that Treliske Hospital in Truro has, erm, 15 ICU beds. If there's a big outbreak there, then I can't see any way in which the county will be able to cope.
 
It’s crazy how, if nothing else, this pandemic seems to have convinced so many people that they’re epidemiologists, with people making brash predictions about “ahh we’re at the peak now”, “no, we’re weeks from the peak”, “lockdown can clearly be relaxed in next couple of weeks”, “lockdown can’t be released until September” etc. etc.

Where all these people have acquired the knowledge and expertise to make predictions with such certainty is beyond me...


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It’s crazy how, if nothing else, this pandemic seems to have convinced so many people that they’re epidemiologists, with people making brash predictions about “ahh we’re at the peak now”, “no, we’re weeks from the peak”, “lockdown can clearly be relaxed in next couple of weeks”, “lockdown can’t be released until September” etc. etc.

Where all these people have acquired the knowledge and expertise to make predictions with such certainty is beyond me...


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There's making your own predictions then there's listening to the government and their repetition of what SAGE and co have said.

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I don't think it would be helimed.
However a lot of ambulances will be on the road between the hospitals and the nightingales.



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Without a doubt, reason I said helimed is I assume they would be using all available resources.

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It’s crazy how, if nothing else, this pandemic seems to have convinced so many people that they’re epidemiologists, with people making brash predictions about “ahh we’re at the peak now”, “no, we’re weeks from the peak”, “lockdown can clearly be relaxed in next couple of weeks”, “lockdown can’t be released until September” etc. etc.

Where all these people have acquired the knowledge and expertise to make predictions with such certainty is beyond me...


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The governments line
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The economic body for Britain has predicted that a 3 month lockdown followed by 3 months of additional measures could see the British economy contract by 35% in Q2 and 6.5% for the entirety of 2020, as well as an unemployment level of 10%: https://apple.news/AIE9eVx0aS8OPI8_Afp9yPQ

This is worrying by any stretch of the imagination, but they have suggested that we will go back to pre-crisis growth levels by the end of 2020, suggesting a short and sharp recession as opposed to too much of a lengthy one, and unemployment will return to pre-crisis levels by 2023. They have thankfully said, however, that the government's measures have prevented any lasting damage to the economy.
 
The economic body for Britain has predicted that a 3 month lockdown followed by 3 months of additional measures could see the British economy contract by 35% in Q2 and 6.5% for the entirety of 2020, as well as an unemployment level of 10%: https://apple.news/AIE9eVx0aS8OPI8_Afp9yPQ

This is worrying by any stretch of the imagination, but they have suggested that we will go back to pre-crisis growth levels by the end of 2020, suggesting a short and sharp recession as opposed to too much of a lengthy one, and unemployment will return to pre-crisis levels by 2023. They have thankfully said, however, that the government's measures have prevented any lasting damage to the economy.
Iirc the recession in 2008 was a year end of 8% contraction so although Q2 may suck, a 6% year end is a pretty good outcome in the grand scheme


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well I guess all those that loose there jobs will be happy about that news,
only 2 years on income support trying to make ends meet :(
Of course it's terrible for those who lose their jobs, but they might well be able to find new jobs utilising similar skills dependant on their field of expertise!
 
On that note it's likely certain fields will actually have a spike in recruitment end of the year, such as logistics due to brexit- I'm not sure how much that impacts the figures.

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