Apologies Burb, it doesn't take much to get me carried away in these dark days of isolated bank holidays.
Astrodan hit the nail on the head really. You cannot conclude that a ride doesn't need work, based on the smoothness of it. You could say your car is fine because it feels smooth to drive, when that would mostly be based on the wheels and suspension. Without taking into consideration the state of the chassis, engine, bodywork ect ect.
The time will be fast approaching when it needs major TLC to keep it running safe and well. Maintenance that goes above and beyond the preventative and reactive maintenance. That is has received all of it's life, that is just part of the natural life of any machine. I remember small parts of the running rails were replaced back in 2003 / 2004 ish, on the first helix. Almost certainly because of fatigue on the track. I suspect other parts have recieved similar treatment in recent years. It is only natural for any mechanical machine to need big overhauls after a long time of service.
Nemesis is a very intense coaster, alot of stress is placed upon the structure at various parts. Increasing the stress and the frequency it needs work. Alton have done amazingly well to keep it going this long, even more so when you factor the corporate restraints they have delt with over the years.
I also suspect this could potentially be why alot of newer B&M's are tamer these days. Not the only factor, but a contributing one. A tamer ride that pulls less force, directly results in less stress on the structure. Thus reducing maintenance costs for parks in the long run. I would bet my left arm that parks have requested these big massive coasters, but have also asked for maintenance costs to be as low as possible. Easy task for the best coaster engineers on the planet, but that can also be reduced by lowering the intensity of the ride.
I guess the big question really, is how will Alton and Merlin handle this situation. Big capex on an existing and old ride. Arguably the most iconic ride in their portfolio. They did bring Collosus back to life at Heid Park, after lots of back and forth, but it happened. So I am hoping they see the value in Nemesis when the time comes. Even more so that the company is now private. Now they dont have to answer greedy shareholders, there is no excuse to persevere some of the most iconic coasters in their portfolio, which just so happen to be some of the worlds most iconic rides.
Please excuse any grammer or spelling mistakes, the liquor has been flowing.
Time
Will
Tell