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2025: General Discussion

GooseOnTheLoose said:
Can we all admit now that it's never exactly been the most reliable at predicting crowds? It doesn't help that Easter is a moveable feast, leading to inaccurate data for previous years, etc.
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The historical records on there are not predictions, they are real data scraped from the app. May last year the midweeks before the school trips, many rides were walk on or very short queues. I doubt toxicator is that much of a draw this year that it affects it that drastically.
 
shaun3 said:
The historical records on there are not predictions, they are real data scraped from the app. May last year the midweeks before the school trips, many rides were walk on or very short queues. I doubt toxicator is that much of a draw this year that it affects it that drastically.
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I'm aware that the predicted crowd levels, as the site refers to them, are based on data scraped from the site over previous years. The issue is precisely that the data isn't mapped around moveable dates, feasts, events, or holidays. It doesn't account for weather changes, which may have impacted visitor numbers, over previous years either.

Easter Sunday, in 2024, was on 31st of March. This year Easter Sunday isn't until 20th of April. There's two and a half weeks variance there between the event itself, and when the associated school / company holidays around it can take place.

The crowd calendar will tell you exactly what crowds were like on any specified date, over previous years. The 31st of March could be a rainy Monday, three weeks before Easter. It could be a Sunny Tuesday, in the second week of Easter. It could be Easter Sunday itself. Without presenting you with this information, alongside the crowd levels, the prediction based on historical data is borderline useless or very inaccurate at best.
 
The Queue Time predictor does incorporate public holidays and weather tbf.

Ultimately it’s an estimate and I think people with the level of interest to use it are aware of that as opposed to expecting it to always be correct.

You can delve further into the data to refine the estimate if you desire, which I often do and have found it incredibly useful for planning our trips.
 
Bowser said:
The Queue Time predictor does incorporate public holidays and weather tbf.
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Only for the current year, not for the historical data. It uses this year's weather and public holiday information to tell you that April 20th is Easter Sunday, will be sunny and that might make it busier.
 
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