I've been following this closely and it concerns me greatly. The figures coming out of China are not accurate in the slightest. People were locked inside their homes, so who knows how many more have died.
Fatality rate when looking at deaths vs recoveries for cases with an outcome is around 14% at the moment.
The speed at which China acted on this and the scale of the quarantine leads me to believe this came from the lab in Wuhan and China knew they had to stop it quick.
While number of new infections in China are dropping, don't forget most of the country is in lock down. Cases outside china continue to rise though the death rate is around 1%
To put that in context, flu is around 0.01% , Spanish flu was 2%. WHO are saying this could go either way at the moment and I totally agree with them.