An interesting YouGov poll was done recently on how well the British public thinks Brexit is going so far:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-news-latest-poll-uk-b2112060.html
The poll suggests that:
- Among the overall British population, 16% think that Brexit is going well, 54% think that it is going badly, and 20% pass no overall judgement.
- This is a sharp increase in the percentage who think Brexit is going badly; when the transition period ended in January 2021, this figure was less than 40%.
- Among 2019 Conservative voters, 33% think that Brexit is going well, 28% think it is going badly, and 33% pass no overall judgement.
- Among 2019 Labour and Liberal Democrat voters, 3% think that Brexit is going well, and over 70% think it is going badly.
- Among those who voted Leave in the EU Referendum, 31% think that Brexit is going well and 31% think it is going badly, so those who voted for Brexit are split down the middle about it.
- Among those who voted Remain in the EU Referendum, 6% think that it is going well, so there have been some who have been converted to Brexit since the referendum.
Personally, I think it’s possibly too early to cast much of a judgement on how well Brexit has gone for the UK. Yes, the economical and logistical situation in the UK (with the likes of the cost of living crisis, inflation, airport issues, rail strikes etc.) is hardly a bed of roses at present, but how much of that is down to Brexit and how much can be blamed on other factors, such as COVID and the Ukraine war? And even if Brexit does play a role in this, that could only be a little bit of short term pain; for all we know, Brexit could present some tangible long term opportunities for Britain as the years go on. And I say that as someone who always supported Remain when everything was still up in the air.
Don’t get me wrong, I would still vote Remain/Rejoin if there was an EU Referendum tomorrow, as I am a believer in us being closely aligned with our European neighbours, but I do think that it’s too early to declare Brexit a roaring success or a resounding flop yet. I don’t think we’ll be able to do that for a long time; personally, my view is that we should bide our time a little and see what opportunities being outside of the EU can present to us rather than being bitter when Brexit has not been a thing for very long at all. Look to the future rather than the past, as it were, and try and carve the best possible path out of what circumstances we’re dealing with.
Besides, I think the criteria for “success” from Brexit is incredibly open-ended, and very much depends on the person. It could be perceived as having been successful to one person and unsuccessful to another. The criteria of success for something like Brexit is just so, so open-ended, and there are so many ways you could define it.