I think assuming on any economic matters is pretty and naive and simplistic at the best of times, let alone in the middle of a pandemic. It's also notoriously difficult to measure as well, as Covid has not impacted all countries equally, nor were they all in the same shape before the pandemic struck. With different impacts of Covid and different responses, assuming doesn't really come in to it. Naturally, the core drivers of economies will be a factor. If you have a strong manufacturing sector, that will likely bounce back with a different profile than an economy built on tourism, hospitality and experiences.