Rick
TS Member
- Favourite Ride
- Crux
I think assuming on any economic matters is pretty and naive and simplistic at the best of times, let alone in the middle of a pandemic.When we see our 27 neighbours recover economically over the next few years, whilst we're wallowing in a mess of our own making, then we can pretty much assume that any economic hits that we face next year will be as a result of Brexit.
It's also notoriously difficult to measure as well, as Covid has not impacted all countries equally, nor were they all in the same shape before the pandemic struck. With different impacts of Covid and different responses, assuming doesn't really come in to it.
Naturally, the core drivers of economies will be a factor. If you have a strong manufacturing sector, that will likely bounce back with a different profile than an economy built on tourism, hospitality and experiences.