I get the idea behind local restrictions but I do not think they are going to have any significant impact on changing the course of what is happening in this country. It just seems very disjointed and the strictest restrictions will not bring the R rate below 1.
I don't really get what has been happening in my local authority area, Charnwood. We are currently the 35th worst area of the country when looking at infection rates per 100,000 people yet we are still in tier 1 for now (sounds like it could be changing on Friday). Even when the infection rates in neighbouring Leicester were high in July/August, it never really spread in to Charnwood. Then as soon as the students went off to uni the infection rate in parts of Loughborough started to climb rapidly whist in the rest of the area rates stayed at or below the national average. But due to a complete lack of action rates across the whole area have increased, including in the over-60s. It just doesn't make a whole lot of sense to be honest!
It would not surprise me if the vast majority of the country was in at least tier 2 in a few weeks time. And seeing as none of the tiers are likely to bring the R below 1, it is difficult to see what the exit strategy is going to be.
Maybe a national circuit breaker in early September whilst rates were still relatively low for 2 or 3 weeks would have been a good idea for a reset. I'll be interested to see what it does for Wales. But to be honest I have no idea what the right or wrong approach is now!