I have an interesting point that might be worth considering; as compliance with the guidelines seems to have gone down gradually since the start of lockdown, and many people seem to be fed up with the restrictions, could we end up seeing an end to the restrictions before the pandemic ends if compliance falls to a low enough level? This would also fulfill the government’s wish of reviving the economy, so it might be something they eventually consider.
Many have suggested that the level of compliance in the event of a second lockdown would be considerably lower than during the first one, and many have argued that it’s against human nature to be doing things like distancing and wearing masks for a long period of time (which I don’t disagree with; humans are a social species by nature, so it would be very hard for society to maintain complete compliance for a very long time). So could we eventually get to a point where society gets fed up of the restrictions and ditches them entirely, even if COVID hasn’t ended?
I was only wondering because over time, I feel like people’s patience with the guidelines has worn thinner and thinner, and it’s only going to get thinner once we get closer to things like Christmas, where people have a natural tendency to gather. What are your thoughts? Do you think the world might eventually just go “right, we’ve had enough” regardless of what COVID is doing?
A lot would depend on if the government were able to shake that finite money tree a bit more as any lockdown would need to be funded like last time. At present the furlough scheme is winding down and coming to an end at the end of October. Ideally this should be extended until at least next Spring for those industries still struggling such as hospitality, The arts and Transport. But if a full UK lockdown is imposed again, this would need to be extended to cover all sectors otherwise there will be job losses on a scale not seen before. Something I fear anyway when the current scheme ends next month.
Support for businesses in terms of grants and short term loans would need to be extended too. Whilst loans do need to be paid back, if the business eventually ceases trading, then that debt gets wiped in a lot of cases.
Bolton has gone in to lockdown today, pretty much the same restrictions as the UK lockdown, with all pubs etc closing, but with the furlough scheme winding down and little support available for business it could prove unviable for many of these businesses to survive, and they certainly will be laying staff off now they have to pay towards the furlough scheme.
There does seem little appetite for a UK wide lockdown. The government needs to be careful, as afterall, they rule by consent. If they lose the consent of the people , and with government ministers alienating sections of society suggesting by suggesting they are granny killers they seem well on their way to acheiving that, thats when things start to get messy.
If there is another full UK lockdown then expect large scale job losses if support isn't extended and for it to get a bit messy on the streets.
Now if they can get an effective track and trace system in place there probably would be no need. Doesn't seem like they are anywhere near that yet, so instead its easier to makes threats to people and to flex their muscles in places such as Bolton to punish those who went out (on government advice & at government expense too) and dared to socialise.
I'm not sure people will tolerate a Christmas in any sort of lockdown/restrictions on meeting up with people. As mentioned before, I don't celebrate Christmas, but I do enjoy the 2 weeks or so I have off around that time and it is a nice break from the depressingly long dark nights and dreary days where I can socialise with friends, some family and get away for a week or so. It would be a thoroughly miserable experience if we were to be expected to not mix with anyone, and I am sure I am not alone in that thought