Dave
TS Founding Member
I'm hoping that Scarefest won't be affected, but I feel that this may go on beyond the summer season. but not as severe. There is no way we are going to contain this. I don't trust this government and I don't think that they have been fully up front about this. The truth is, this is a new strain of virus and even the experts don't fully know all the answers.
The NHS website say's "Because it's a new illness, we do not know exactly how coronavirus spreads from person to person."
Not everyone will have gotten the virus by the end of the year, so there will still be people at risk from getting it. They don't know if once you get it, whether you can get it again, normally you can't with viruses unless it mutates like the flu or common cold that it mutates and then you can get it again and again year in year out or more than once during the same winter season.
Hopefully Scarefest wont be affected, after all the London Marathon has been postponed till October, so hopefully all this will have been blown over by then.
There is an interactive map on the ITV news page, where you can click on various regions to find out where the confirm cases are and how many. Looks live I'm currently safe here in Norfolk, but how long for?
https://www.itv.com/news/2020-03-11...-cases-in-your-area-with-our-interactive-map/
At the moment evidence suggests you gain immunity (there are two strains however). One key thing to remember is Flu and cold do mutate so you can get repeat infections but because you have been exposed to it before (or you have immunity passed from your parents), the symptoms are lessened. This is why Flu’s fatality rate is lower as even though you get the illness due to mutations your immune system has a bit of a head start in fighting it.
Also we don’t need 100% herd immunity to slow transmission. There will be a tipping point which is currently predicted to be around 50-60% where the immune population slows transmission.